Bosna a Hercegovina – neracionálne ambície v spore o secesiu Prečítať

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA – IRRATIONAL AMBITIONS IN SECESSIONIST DISPUTE

Ján Jančo – Jaroslav Kompan

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Politické vedy, Volume 26, Number 3/2023, pages 8-31

DOI: https://doi.org/10.24040/politickevedy.2023.26.3.8-31

Recommended form for quotation of the article / Odporúčaná forma citácie článku:

JANČO, J. – KOMPAN, J. 2023. Bosna a Hercegovina – neracionálne ambície v spore o secesiu. In Politické Vedy. Vol. 26, no. 3, pp. 8-31. ISSN 1335 – 2741. Available at: https://doi.org/10.24040/politickevedy.2023.26.3.8-31

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ABSTRACT

Bosnia and Herzegovina is a state composed of different ethnic, religious and cultural identities, with a complicated political and administrative system in which it is difficult to achieve political and economic progress. Bosnia and Herzegovina is a state in which the symptoms of conflict and fragmentation are present, particularly in the context of secessionist efforts by representatives of the Republika Srpska. Although the conflict or the dispute over the secession of the Republika Srpska could be considered rational, we considered the ambitions of the representatives of the Republika Srpska to be irrational, also in view of the predicted development of this dispute and the impact of the efforts of the international community. Therefore, the study was focused on the threat of secession efforts from the Republika Srpska and analysed and assessed the actual situation in the years 2020-2023. The aim of the study was to predict the development of the situation in relation to the secessionist efforts of the representatives of the Republika Srpska. The study used the model of unrecognised statehood to make a forecast. It took into account not only the ambitions of the secessionist entity and the threatened state, but also the influence of external actors pursuing their ambitions. By applying a comprehensive approach to assessing the secessionist conflict in Bosnia and Herzegovina, the study predicted the outcome in terms of “status quo equilibria”.

Key words: Bosnia and Herzegovina, Republika Srpska, Secession, Conflict Resolution, Model of Unrecognised Statehood